Published on 19 March 2025
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Unveiling productivity and markup bias: the role of price heterogeneity

Firm-level Total Factor Productivity (TFP) measures a firm's efficiency in using inputs to produce output, while markups reflect the firm's pricing power over marginal costs. Using firm-level data from Chinese manufacturing through 1998–2007, Diane Coyle, Ioannis Bournakis, and Jen-Chung Mei show that estimates of TFP and markups are often biased due to unobserved price heterogeneity across firms; by accounting for both input and output price biases, they find that omitting firm-level prices significantly underestimates both TFP and markups.

Estimates of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and markups are often biased due to unobserved price heterogeneity across firms. This working paper adopts a structural approach to adjust for this bias. Using firm-level data from Chinese manufacturing firms for the period 1998–2007, we use a structural approach to the revenue function, incorporating firm-level input and output prices to disentangle TFP and markups from price variations. Using these estimates as a comparison, we find that omitting firm-level prices in the conventional approach significantly underestimates both the level and growth of aggregate TFP. Similarly, markup levels are substantially underestimated when firm-level price heterogeneity is omitted although markup growth is lower. These findings highlight the necessity of carefully taking into account the often-unobserved firm level price heterogeneity in order to interpret productivity and markup results meaningfully.

Authors

Diane Coyle 2018

Professor Diane Coyle

Bennett Professor of Public Policy and Co-Director of the Bennett Institute for Public Policy

Diane Coyle is the Bennett Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge. She co-directs the Bennett Institute where she heads research under the themes of progress and productivity. Diane’s new...

Ioannis Bournakis

Dr Ioannis Bournakis is an Associate Professor in Economics at SKEMA Business School in Lille, France. He holds a Ph.D in Economics from the University of Kent, and an MA...

Dr Jen-Chung Mei

Affiliated Researcher / Alumni

Dr Jen-Chung Mei is a Lecturer in Economics at Westminster Business School, and a member of the Productivity Institute. He was a Postdoc Research Associate at the Bennett Institute for Public...

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